Series Preview: Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals

Sailors roam in Kansas City This weekend after two disappointing losses against the Angels and as such. Although the team still has a cushion of four games Baltimore In the playoffs, players have a large number of body parts that may need that padding. We will likely see more Ty France at third base this weekend with Eugenio Suárez out, and all eyes are on Julio Rodríguez today, Who will undergo an MRI? After leaving yesterday’s match in the middle of the first half with a repeated strain in his back that kept him out of action last week. At the time of writing, there is no information yet on the flavor of the “anxiety” he is having.

On the bright side, yesterday saw the production of nine runs over eleven hits, most notably The first chapter of Jared Kilinc’s revenge tour. If the team can continue to fan that fire for the next few days, they will have a day off on Monday before going home for ten exciting (meaningful!) matches in nine days to finish the regular season.


sailors Royals
sailors Royals
1 . game Friday 23 September | 5:10 pm
LHP Marco Gonzalez RHP Brady Singer
48% 52%
2 . game Saturday 24 September | 4:10 pm
RHB Logan Gilbert LHP Chris Bobick
59% 41%
3 . game Sunday 25 September | 11:10 AM
RHB Luis Castillo RHP Zack Greinke
64% 36%

*Game odds courtesy of Fangraves

Team overview

Summary Royals sailors edge
Summary Royals sailors edge
hit (wRC +) 92 (ranked 12th in the AL) 105 (5th in AL) sailors
Fielding (OAA) 6 (seventh) 6 (8) Royals
Rotation Initiation (FIP-) 118 (13th) 103 (eighth) sailors
Bullpen (FIP-) 109 (15) 95 (eighth) sailors

The last time the Mariners and Royals faced each other at the other end of the season, April 22-24 in Seattle. The Mariners easily swept the Royals, scoring 22 Royals 12. In that series, Carlos Santana led in two runs through the long ball… to Kansas City! In Jake’s preview all those past five months, he wrote:In many ways, members of the royal family are in a position similar to that of sailors from an organizational standpoint.”

Oh boy, times have changed. The Royals entered the season with high hopes for the competition, given the prospect of three baseball players and the core of a strong veteran bat, but those hopes didn’t come to fruition. While the Mariners played their way to a 99.5% chance of going to the playoffs for the first time in the history of this site, the Royals played their way to a fired GM and fourth place in their league. Indeed, the consensus places responsibility for the royal family’s failure to advance by rebuilding on their own OD practices, including Big failure to develop promo And the Unwillingness to invest in analytics and data-driven decision making. On Wednesday, royal family owner John Sherman announced the dismissal of General Manager Dayton Moore for 16 years. New Royal Family Member (to the role) GM JJ Picollo Looking to usher in a more advanced era of analytics For the team.

Royals Collection

player Site bat Palestinian Authority baby wRC + BSR
player Site bat Palestinian Authority baby wRC + BSR
MG Melendez DH The 479 0.261 102 -1.0
Bobby Witt Jr. SS R 582 0.291 102 5.3
Salvador Perez c R 437 0.290 109 -2.8
Vinnie Pasquantino 1 b The 245 0.280 124 -1.0
Michael A. Taylor CF R 429 0.327 94 0.5
Michael Massey 2B The 156 0.340 101 0.5
Edward Olivares RF R 129 0.360 133 0.4
Hunter Dozer LF R 472 0.293 87 -7.5
Nate Eaton 3 b R 93 0.382 104 1.8

Offensively, the Royals have struggled to perform consistently this year, with the WRC+ team just below the league average at 96. Shortstop started Bobby Witt, Jr. (prospective player mentioned above) year with Adley Rutschman and Julio as the third battling to be a rising baseball star. Compared to the other two, Witt was a disappointment, with a value of 2.1 fWAR against 4.9 for Julio and 4.4 for Rutschman. However, his raw talent is clearly visible: He’s hit 20 home runs, stole 27 bases, and fWAR led all the other center players in the Royal Family.

Witt and Catcher/designated MJ Melendez made an appearance this year and seem like valuable young flocks at The Royals going forward. In terms of familiar veteran faces facing the M crew, Salvador Perez leads Kansas City with 22 people, and Hunter Dozier…is there. First baseman Vinny Pasquantino leads the team in the World Rally Championship + (126) for players who have participated in over 200 matches, but the team hasn’t had any really high-profile hitters this year except for lone star Andrew Benentende, who has been traded with the team. Yankees in July.

Potential jugs

Updated stuff + explanation

Denny Medley USA Today Sports

RHP Brady Singer

IP K% BB% HR/FB% GB% era FIP
IP K% BB% HR/FB% GB% era FIP
140 2/3 23.9% 5.6% 13.4% 48.6% 3.07 3.53
spit Repetition velocity rotation rate things + whiff + BIP +
sinker 54.0% 93.8 2293 118 94 112
change 7.7% 86.9 2230 66 32 86
slider 37.9% 85.5 2335 116 95 89

Brady Singer’s breakout season has been one of the royals’ few bright spots this year. One of the best draft picks the royals received during the post-2015 rebuilding phase World Championship At the peak, he struggled to find plenty of success during his first two seasons in the majors. His achievement was not the product of any sweeping changes to his repertoire; Instead, he simply improved his approach. It locates its playgrounds in the area quite a lot, which leads to a significant decrease in the rate of walking. By filling in the area, it allows for a bit more contact but is more than offset by some improved results on its slider. This field produces an average whiff of functionality and hitters have had a rough time if they put it into play.

LHP Chris Bobick

IP K% BB% HR/FB% GB% era FIP
IP K% BB% HR/FB% GB% era FIP
119 1/3 17.6% 10.7% 13.8% 41.3% 5.81 4.97
spit Repetition velocity rotation rate things + whiff + BIP +
four stitches 50.9% 91.8 2126 66 90 88
change 27.8% 80.6 1687 159 86 78
Curveball 21.3% 79.3 2605 103 44 92

From a previous preview of the series:

Of their four picks in the first round of 2018, Bubic is arguably the most successful major league hit. He debuted in 2020 and has amassed 4.57 ERAs across 41 appearances and 32 starts. However, his FIP sits over five, as he was particularly vulnerable to the long ball. This is not surprising given that his speedball is only 90 mph on average. Rather than beating the hitters, he relies on bluffing for most of his success—mechanically and across his mix of tones. His change has one of the best spreads in the majors, which helps him keep the speculators balanced, although it results in a more languid connection rather than a whiff.

Bubic hasn’t seen much improvement in its results this year. He’s been able to push his home run toward the league average but his era is still higher than ever. He allowed five runs over seven strokes in two rounds of action on a previous outing in Seattle in April.

RHP Zack Greinke

IP K% BB% HR/FB% GB% era FIP
IP K% BB% HR/FB% GB% era FIP
124 13.1% 4.7% 9.3% 41.7% 4.21 4.13
spit Repetition velocity rotation rate things + whiff + BIP +
four stitches 38.5% 89.2 2286 32 72 77
sinker 2.5% 89.4 2186 82
cutter 13.6% 85.9 2378 94 85 125
change 16.1% 86.6 1636 54 55 92
Curveball 19.9% 72.1 2432 104 55 103
slider 9.3% 82.2 2434 60 65 113

Zack Greinke’s reunion with the royal family at age 38 has gone as expected. With his fastball velocity lower than ever, his hit rate has dropped sharply – only Marco Gonzalez is the lowest among beginners with at least 120 runs. But this late career version of Greinke is still effective for the same reasons Gonzalez was: deep repertoire and a formidable command. He’s also managed to improve his FIP by more than half a run over the past year, almost all of which can be traced back to his home run rate being roughly halved.

The Big Picture:

Al Gharb

Team WL W% games behind last model
Team WL W% games behind last model
Astros 99-52 0.656 WWWWL
sailors 82-67 0.550 16.0 LWLLW
Notice 65-84 0.436 33.0 LLLWW
Angels 65-85 0.433 33.5 WLLWLL
Athletics 55-95 0.367 43.5 WLWWL

Wild Card Racing

Team WL W% games behind last model
Team WL W% games behind last model
blue jays 84-66 0.560 +1.5 WLLWLL
rays 83-67 0.553 +0.5 WLLLLW
sailors 82-67 0.550 LWLLW
Orioles 78-71 0.523 4.0 WLLWW
white socks 76-74 0.507 6.5 WWLL

Today’s Wild Card ranking looks very similar to the last time we checked in. While playing M’s athletics, rays swept it Astros and the yes Split two games with Phyllis. Those three teams are in a similar position through Tuesday, with Toronto one game ahead of Reese, who is half a game ahead of the Mariners. The Orioles have won one M match since then, because they beat the Astros yesterday. Although the Mariners’ slump made their playoff hopes look bleak, the strength of the schedule certainly favors them in these last two weeks; Tampa Bay, Toronto and Baltimore play multiple series against other related or competing teams (and red socks).

If the season ends today, the Rays will travel to Toronto for the three playoffs, while the Mariners will travel to Cleveland to play three against guardians.

This weekend, the Orioles host the Astros for three more. After the Rays beat the Blue Jays 10-5 yesterday, the other two potential teams play the Wild Card three more times this weekend.