How to support these starter pitchers

Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds Odds

red socks Prospect -122
reds Prospect +104
Above under 8.5 (-112 / -108)
time 6:40 PM ET
Television MLB.TV
cross odds Vandel. Get up to a minute MLB . odds over here.

Tuesdays are always big for Major League Baseball. All 30 teams fit in and start on the field today, including a double header between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers.

It is a perfect opportunity to find a game and cook Parlay from the same game.

When you bet on SGP, we look to craft an easily predictable game script and then bet the legs to make the game script happen.

Tonight’s Boston-Cincinnati features two of baseball’s least valuable rookie pitchers.

We can take advantage of that with the same Parlay game.

Parlay (+353):

  • Brian Bellew Over 4.5 Strike Out (-118)
  • Nick Ludlow over 6.5 hits (-156)
  • Under 8.5 (-108)

Parlay same game – Red Sox vs Reds

Brian Bellew Over 4.5 Strike Out (-118)

Bellow has some of the best things about baseball. The diver and fastball are both sitting in the ’90s – sometimes touching three numbers – and have a disgusting change.

This change has some strong arm side running and simply deceives the hitters. Changing Bello allowed .200 SLG and 14.8% Hard Hit while imposing 45.6% Whiff Rate.

After a disastrous start, Bello was already starting to settle down. He’s known for his attacking and volleying abilities, and that’s been shown over the past couple of months.

Brian Bello is back on July 29th:

30.1 IP
2.97 ERA / 2.32 FIP
57.8% GB%
9.8 K / 9
3.9 BB / 9
0 hours allowed

His growth since his appearance has been phenomenal. I can only dream of his potential going forward. pic.twitter.com/hNRoYirknT

– Tyler Milliken ⚾️ (@tylermilliken_) September 15, 2022

Bello has racked up over 4.5 penalties in four of his last five matches, including three in a row.

The Reds have only posted 83 wRC+ over the past month and are 28th in weighted changeovers created this season (-12.4).

I’m looking for a big start from bellow tonight.

Nick Ludlow over 6.5 hits (-156)

Ludlow is probably better known than Bello. He has achieved consistent results since entering the Reds’ rotation, specifically in imposing offensive strikes.

Ludolo averages over 11.5 strokes per nine runs. His 30.3% ball strike rate ranks him at 87 percent of qualified shooters. He cashed that number on three straight starts, including two consecutive 11-strikes and zero walks.

Ludlow’s lone ball is the big swing floor he misses, resulting in a 44.5% fit rate on the field.

His heavyweight player, however, was just as effective, scoring a -6 run value on the field.

Boston is ranked 23rd in the number of rounds of the weighted bowtie (-4.8) and 28th in the number of rounds of the weighted bowtie (-9.9). Additionally, the squad ranked eighth in strike rate against Southpaws over the past month (25.7%).

I’m expecting a massive start from Lodolo, and perhaps another double-digit strike performance.

Under 8.5 (-108)

If we’re expecting a big start from these shooters, we can safely assume there’s an advantage at the bottom.

However, I think these shooters may still be undervalued in the markets.

Lodolo has 3.81 ERA, but it is 3.63 xERA and 3.29 xFIP. The left has a 2.72 ERA and 2.53 FIP over his last six starts. The positive downhill train is heading towards Ludlow Station.

Meanwhile, Bello has 5.10 ERA this season, but 3.77 xERA and 2.76 FIP. It has also seen a positive pullback, but I think the markets haven’t caught up yet.

Expect a low-hit and high-hit game in this game.

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