Home MLB record: 15 current pacers who could be next to make the push for a 60-man season

Aaron Judge lives season for ages. We already knew it, But he rolled again on Tuesday night and was No. 60. He is now the sixth player in MLB history to score 60 home runs in a regular season.

Of the many topics on our minds, who else might be able to run on that sacred number here in the relatively near future?

Giancarlo Stanton succeeded in closing in 2017, dropping 59 times. We saw Ryan Howard score 58 in 2006. Luis Gonzalez scored 57 in 2001 and Ken Grevey Jr scored 56 twice (1997 and 1998). We can even cite 54 Jose Bautista in 2010 or Pete Alonso 53 in 2019. This means that even if we want to pretend there are players like Barry Bonds, Mark McGuire, Sami Sosa and iRoad, there is something relatively decent hesitation in the wild card age of players. who top 50 players and head towards 60.

Reaching 60 is pretty rare, but getting close enough to make us think about it? Not much.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at the next player to run at 60 – not necessarily hitting 60, but getting close enough or hitting at a pace that we think it’s possible. More simply: Who is the next player to make us think about 60?

Here are some of the shortlisted candidates (listed in alphabetical order) along with my guess of their chances of the 60 Days Challenge.

1. Pete Alonso, Mets

These are listed alphabetically by last name and are not in order. However, if you rank them, Pete will find himself at the top of that list as well. He’s already reached 53, as stated. He hit 16 in 57 games in 2020 (at a pace of 162 out of 45 home games). He has a shot at 40 this season, reaching 37 on Tuesday night. It is big and strong. He still has several years of excellent work. What do you not like?

60 Challenge Chances: From decent to good. It’s one of the best bets here.

He has a career high in the competition this year, although he’s still under 40. But that sentence comes with some pretty big caveats. Alvarez is still only 25 years old. He’s made 27 appearances as a rookie, but that was in only 87 games. This season, he has only played in 122 games and still has 37 home players. His communication skills have improved and he hits the ball as hard as anyone else. For wit, Judge leads the bigs in average exit velocity this season (shock, I know) and Alvarez is a close second.

It has all the features you want.

60 Challenge Chances: As good as anyone.

Judge it by its lightweight construction at your peril, as it has some serious punch power. Buxton has 47 home runs in 153 games in 2021-22. If we analyze the 2020 season, his pace in 162 home games in the past three seasons is 51.

Of course, Buxton does not stay in the field. Even in the 60-game season in 2020, he played only 39 games. She was 61 in 2021 and is at 93 this season.

He is 28 years old and has the ability. We can’t help but say “if he can stay healthy” so many times before it loses all meaning.

60 Challenge Chances: Low, to the point where I almost didn’t engage him due to the injury history.

Did you see its highlights? The rookie pirate hit the hardest ball ever. That’s true, statistically, in the age of Statcast, at least. He has a handful of hardest hits this season, including the hardest hit at 122.4 mph. He has 17 home runs in 74 games and this was a rookie at the age of 23. There is bound to be a growth in his age and with this kind of raw talent the proverbial sky is the limit.

He also scores just 0.220 with 118 goals for 21 walks in 304 games. Granted, those numbers aren’t straight home run numbers, but poor playing skills and poor sheet discipline make the margin of error for poor hitters.

Like I said, there’s bound to be some growth, but if it doesn’t clean up the weaknesses in a major way, the roof is probably somewhere in the mid-40s.

60 Challenge Chances: Moderate? Maybe less than that, but it’s very hard to tell now. He has the upside, but the holes hinder his chances.

Hit the ball hard. He’s sitting in the top five of average exit sprints this season and that’s nowhere near outside. He has always been one of the best players out there. He is still only 25 years old. Devers had a 38-round home run last season, though a terrible second half this year has seen him fall backwards.

The incredibly short balcony of Fenway’s right field helps left here and the green monster on left field could Help – but hard drives can also be turned into pairs instead of home run.

I would have wished him more after 2019 (32 players, 54 doubles at 22, thinking a lot of those doubles would turn into home doubles as he got older), but he’s still pretty young for at least one great run.

60 Challenge Chances: Low nest. External shot.

The former No. 1 hit 15 Bombs in 34 Triple A matches before calling the majors this season. He has scored 14 in 89 games with the big league basics. By itself, that doesn’t really catch the eye when we’re talking about running into his mid-50s or more, but Gorman is only 22 years old and just learning to hit the MLB.

As with the Cruz, the low average, low walk and high strike are certainly a concern, but there are plenty of upsides.

60 Challenge Chances: We’ll say the chances are slim at the moment, but he could prove wrong quickly.

Easy to choose here, isn’t it? Vlad turned 48 in 2021 when he was 22 years old. He’s taken a good step back this season, but we’ve already seen the skill set needed to continue into the mid-50s and beyond.

It’s still very difficult to get past 50 and go through one season. Plus, there’s always the possibility that last season was the best of Guerrero’s career, but what’s the fun in thinking like that?

60 Challenge Chances: Acceptable.

8. Aaron Judge, Yankees

He’s already done this once. If we want to count the season he hit 52, he got close to 60 at least twice. The question now is, can he run again?

Of course it is could. He has already shown that he can.

The smartest bet is that Judge has never had a season like this again. He’s had a lot going for him this season, and to be clear, he’s made the majority of those breaks for himself. There are obvious tweaks and improvements all around. It really is the season for the ages.

Something to keep in mind: The judge is 30 years old. There may not have been a lot of capital left. He’s had issues with injuries in the past, too.

It is interesting to consider whether the judge would sign elsewhere. Contrary to the popular narrative, Yankee Stadium isn’t overly friendly at home, especially for right-handed hitters. Generally, it is categorized around the middle of the pack and that short right porch mostly takes advantage of the left. It might actually help him to change the pitch at home.

60 again challenge chances: Pretty fit, but I feel like we’re seeing his career year. I will say he never hit 50 again. If he somehow ends up signing with RockyI will change this position.

9. Shohei Ohtani*, Angels

It’s an asterisk! on ohtani?

Yes, and it comes down to his chances of getting close to 60 while on his show, too.

I don’t think he can get past the 46 he scored last season as long as he’s still on duty. That’s just too much physical burden on a guy to expect him to be able to challenge a number like 60 at home in one season.

If not, then all the components are there.

60 Challenge Chances: If he stops promoting, I’d say strong, to very strong. Until then, no. Then again, the bet Ohtani has already shown against him is absurd, so don’t take my word for it.

Riley’s first full season at the MLB level was in 2021 when he was 24. He has scored 33 times on home soil, 18 of them in his last 69 games. He hit 36 ​​this year with a chance of getting into his low forties. It’s a great progression for a strong player who hits the ball hard on a regular basis.

Riley feels like a guy who’s going to hit the home 35-45 in one season for a long time. Sometimes these guys don’t make it to 50 in a year (even Hank Aaron never did! His career high was 45). Sometimes there is one big leap.

60 Challenge Chances: I will say it is low. Riley feels like a mid-tier hitter who will sit continually into his 30s as Homer’s more than 40 seasons mingle. There is absolutely nothing wrong with that either.

11. Julio Rodriguez, Mariners

Leading the soon-to-be AL Rookie of the Year sailors to the playoffs. He is only 21 years old and we have seen many examples of players who are already of this age developing more strength at home at the Major League level. He’s already in the top 10 percent of average exit velocity and doesn’t have nearly the same concerns in the strike and sheet discipline sections as the other guys.

Also, he is really improving at the MLB level. Through 12 games, he’s been hitting .136 with a .159 knockout and 22 hitting in 44 batters. He didn’t hit a single home in April. His best month of the season was September. Simply put: this is the address of all kinds of good places.

60 Challenge Chances: I might be a little excited here, but I love his chances of hitting the court at least once. Even if he only beats 55, he’d venture into the area we’re talking about 60 years old.

12. Giancarlo Stanton, Yankees

It actually got close enough that it was a serious discussion. He reached 59 in 2017. Throughout his career – which is 13 years and growing – he averaged 162 games 42 players. He has the same amount of brute strength as everyone else. Only Judge and Alvarez have a higher average exit velocity this season.

On the other hand, he has 120 attacks in 362 players bats this season and his injury history is shocking. He will turn 33 next season.

60 again challenge chances: Between the lack of contact and injury fears, I just don’t see it.

Say what you will – after all that has happened this season, many will have negative comments – but the physical ability here is off the charts and that will continue to be the case after he returns. The PED suspension is clearly still in place for next season, so a run in 2023 is off the table. With 2024 and beyond, it will be interesting to see.

Let’s keep in mind that Tatis made 39 home runs in 143 games in 2019-20. He reached 42 last season in just 130 games and was only 22 years old.

If there’s a perfectly healthy season ahead and Tates improve through his early twenties like many guys with his insane rise, his chances of running in the 60s are there.

Now, there will inevitably be a crowd that will mindlessly shout “Doping!” This is the price that Tatis will have to pay for his miscalculation. I also can’t believe with his track record that these were magic pills on their own which resulted in his run rate being high on his land. He’ll be strapped when he comes back.

60 Challenge Chances: It is a definite possibility.

I’ve said several times above that players develop more strength on their home ground as they get to know the league better. Trout is an example. He’s hit 30 homers his rookie year and 27 in the full 2013 season. His career high came in 2019, when he made 45 home runs in just 134 games. His pace didn’t change much in the next two seasons, but there was a pandemic and then an injury-ridden 2021 season where he only managed 36 games.

Injuries hindered him. He has run out of time again this season and hasn’t played in more than 140 games since 2016.

It crushes bombs at a high rate, though. He has 36 this season in 106 games. He has a good chance of getting to 40 without reaching 120 matches.

60 Challenge Chances: Given Anxiety is moving forward with his rare back condition, I guess we have to say he’s not going to outgrow it at all at 50. I find it impossible, however, to cross out his entire name. The final word on his chances will simply be “minimal”.

I wanted to include a young colleague on this list and asked him who knows her. Walker was the name that kept coming up. Picking the Cardinals in the first round of high school in 2020, Walker is said to have elite raw power. He just turned 20 in May and has 19 home games in 119 Double-A games this season. As it continues to evolve, the number will only continue to rise, even as it advances in levels. If no one hits him with that, maybe Walker is the guy.

60 Challenge Chances: It’s possible. Who do you know?