Bet Match Preview
- From: St. Louis Cardinals Los Angeles Dodgers
- When: Friday 23 September
- time: 10:10pm EST
- where: Dodger Stadium (Los Angeles, California)
betting odds summary
- money line: Cardinals +144, Dodgers -172
- Runline: Cardinals +1.5 (-132), Dodgers -1.5 (+110)
- the total: Over/Under 8.0 points (-118 / -104)
NB: Odds and lines are current at the time of writing and subject to change.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have 12 games left in the regular season and only need three wins to break their one-season record of 106.
This weekend, they host the St. Louis Cardinals at Dodger Stadium in what could be a watershed series preview between these storied franchises. The Cardinals lead the NL Central by 7.5 games, and their magic number to win is five, so their post-season berth is completely guaranteed at this point.
Dave Roberts and the Dodgers gained an advantage at home during the National League playoffs thanks to having the best record in the league. Their magic number to snatch their field all the way to the World Series is seven, where they’ll need to stay ahead of the Houston Astros for the highest baseball record.
- Jose Quintana (5-6, 3.16 ERA, 124 KS) vs. Andrew Heaney (3-2, 2.66 ERA, 92 years old)
Would the real Andrew Henney stand up please? Everyone is wondering what to do with a Southern veteran. He was effective when he was healthy this year, but injuries only limited him 13 times. The 13.6k/9 is the best of his career so far, but it also allowed a whopping 12 home strokes in just 61 runs.
With Clayton Kershaw back off the injured roster and getting off well, Heaney is almost certain to switch to Bullpen with shorter laps during qualifying. I would love for Heaney to have a healthy strike number tonight against the St.Louis lineup who has little experience against him.
The Cardinals have been happy with Quintana since he was acquired from the Pittsburgh Pirates on Deadline Trade. southpaw allowed no more than two earned rounds in any of his nine starts with St. Louis, posting 2.44 ERAs for his new team. Not surprisingly, the Cardinals are 8-1 when he starts. Unlike Heaney, he doesn’t score many hits but keeps the ball in the garden.
Keep your money and your eyes on Freddy Freeman and Justin Turner, whose bats carried the Dodgers back in September. The Mookie Betts didn’t start Thursday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, but entered the match as a hitter and produced a single.
Few of the Cardinals’ players have had good success lately, with the exception of franchise legends Yadier Molina and Albert Pujols. Pujols was swinging in September as the 700 approached his career, adding four to his ledger this month. Molina is also enjoying a re-emergence on the board, hitting .304/.333/.565 in September.
Another exception for St. Louis is Tommy Edman, who notched 0.324 by nine multi-stroke games this month. He’s also added five steals and cracked a pair of guards, despite the fact that he only scored seven points for how bad his teammates are.
Our best bet today
- Andrew Heaney scores 8+ hits (+215 odds from FanDuel Sportsbook)
Few of the Cardinals have faced Heaney in their careers, outside of Molina and Nolan Arenado, who have amassed eight players against him.
If familiarity breeds contempt, unfamiliarity breeds failed attempts, as in the slow walk into dugout by hitters who can’t tell what Heaney is throwing. Heaney has scored at least eight hits in five of his last six starts, so we’re betting on him to do it again. A $20 bet, for example, will return a profit of $43.
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Today’s bet odds are +902, which means that a $100 bet will win you $902.
- Mookie Betts scores a hit (-260)
- Albert Pujols scores RBI (+180)
- Chris Taylor scores a run (+150)
The Betts should be back in the starting lineup today after yesterday’s day off and it’s a reasonable bet to get a hit, especially against Quintana. The former MVP set fire to the left this year, hitting 326/.394/.659 against the Southpaws.
Pujols have been an RBI machine throughout his career, amassing 2,203 of them and the number is increasing. Only Hank Aaron and Babe Ruth have more. The future Hall of Fame member has 12 RBIs in 19 games this month and also crushes the left, hitting 352/.403/.741 against them in 2022.
Finally, we’re betting on Taylor to score. It hasn’t been very productive this year but still counts over 30% of the time. Since he’s made it to the bottom of the rankings, if he makes it to base, there’s a good chance Bates will push him home from the starting point.