In Week 3 we made it to Oklahoma Nebraska against all odds based on how things turned out in the first half. Michigan defense was very good Okon Even to join the board, so we lost our only bet. However, we more than made up for it with both games crossing the bridge (Syracuse vs. Bordeaux and Washington vs. Michigan State) beating.
All in all we went 8-4 very strong last week in betting the Big Ten. Let’s continue to work in week 4.
Here’s what we should look forward to in Week 4. All lines are provided by DraftKings sports website.
Chattanooga Illinois (-18), O/U 39, 8:30 p.m. Thursday
Chattanooga has scored 31 or more points in every game this season, albeit against substandard competition. Illinois did not score less than 20 points during its 2-1 start to the season. I don’t understand why this drop is so low, so I’ll nervously take it up.
Choice: more than 39
Maryland at Michigan (-17), O/U 65, Saturday noon
Michigan has won outright and covered in each of the last four encounters with the Terrapins. However, we don’t know much about either team as neither of them have played real defense yet. I’m counting on some growing pains for both crimes in both the first real Tests of the season. Expect a few twists in Maryland and Harbaugh to feature some conservative play to facilitate JJ McCarthy’s role in the Big Ten.
Choice: Under 65
Central Michigan in Pennsylvania (-27.5), O/U 63, Noon
Since Chippewas put panic in Oklahoma On September 1, they lost 14 to South Alabama and the Bucknell Close. I think they’ve really played their best football this season and Penn State won’t miss them. Not to mention, the Nittany Lions are playing inspiring football right now.
Selection: Pennsylvania -27.5
Minnesota at Michigan (+2.5), O/U 51, 3:30 p.m.
Last week, we went 2-0 in the games that crossed the bridge, and one of them was at Michigan State’s expense. Unfortunately for the Spartans, this game has also crossed the bridge. By the time the game rolls, you can find lines showing Michigan’s 3-point preference. Today, Golden Gophers are preferred by 2.5. I’ll keep crossing the bridge by spanning until the bridge burns out.
Choice: MN -2.5
Indiana (+17) in Cincinnati, O/U 57.5, 3:30 p.m.
Cincinnati has participated in all three of its games this year. Indiana hit more in two out of three. The number is set at 57.5, which makes me very nervous but I use Sauce Gardner’s lack of Cincinnati defense to justify it.
Picking: more than 57.5
Iowa in Rutgers (+7.5), O/U 34, 7 p.m.
Betting any less is physically painful for me. When there’s a record at stake, you have to do it sometimes. There have been rumors that this could be as low as in/under modern times by the time we get to Saturday night. This could be a defensive battle of epic proportions as both teams have elite defenses and little or no attack. I’m getting out of here hoping to get the ultimate comedy out of this game.
Choice: Under 34
Wisconsin in Ohio State (-19), O/U 57, 7:30 p.m.
Going to the horseshoe at night is difficult for any team. It’s more difficult for a team that is one-dimensional and has a coach who may or may not be slowly working toward the hot seat. I just don’t see the Badgers slowing down Buckeye’s offense.
Choice: Ohio State -19
Miami (OH) at Northwestern (-7), O/U 50, 7:30 p.m.
Northwestern and Miami (Ohio) each hit two out of three games this year. However, Miami (Ohio) managed to score 17 points over Cincinnati and 13 points in Kentucky. I don’t think Northwestern’s defense is as good as Cincinnati’s or Kentucky’s, but this should be a good measuring stick.
Choice: Under 50
Florida Atlantic at Purdue (-20), O/U 61.5, 7:30 p.m.
Bordeaux has been a heartbreaking city this season, having already lost two games by a combined seven-point lead. Look for the Boilermakers to blow off a little steam on Saturday night.
As always, please bet responsibly.