Here’s your best bet from Major League Baseball’s Monday slate.
MLB Odds and Choices
Astros vs. Rice
Tampa Bay has 108 WRC+ Out of the right hand pitchers in the last month. This is the tenth best in MLB. They also go out less than 20% of the time in that time period.
Garcia has had a difficult experience lately. Even with a solid outing in his last two appearances, he has a 4.70 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in the second half. Sure, he wasn’t so lucky with a 4.04 overall ERA versus 3.52 xERA, but Rays hit the right well enough that this could be another bad outing for García.
Yandy Díaz and Jonathan Aranda have both owned .350+ xwOBAs in the past month. Much of the rest of the group owns xwOBA over 0.300, so that at least means they can roll out hard-board looks.
Díaz and Ji-Man Choi have over 400 xwOBAs, and Harold Ramírez and Isaac Paredes have been above 0.360 in the past week.
They have artillery to challenge the struggling Garcia. Take Team Rise the total More than 3.5 (+108) to 4 (-130).
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers
The Dodgers offense has also been rolling in at home this season, but over the past two weeks, they’ve posted a 130 wRC+ against RHP at home. Even if they rest a few beginners, they are simply too deep.
Clayton Kershaw takes the hill for the Dodgers and has been solid this season as well. Kershaw posted 2.85 ERA, 2.37 FIP and 2.38 xFIP at home. Surprisingly, he has been a poor performer in his home peripherals this season.
Additionally, the Diamondbacks have struggled against the LHP on the road for the past month. They have a relatively left-handed lineup and their right-handed platoon options are not very effective.
Also, the Diamondbacks’ bulls have had peaks and valleys this season. They are currently in the crater of a volcano.
The Dodgers have a huge advantage in this confrontation, and since Kelly’s value is being exaggerated, the Dodgers running line It opened around -115 and stayed there all night. The Dodgers’ running line should be a -130 play.
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