A Home Run Streak Highlights Mike Trout’s Rise And Fall Season

© Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

It’s been a strange season for Mike Trout, one marked by a hot start, an epic slump with the worst losing streak in franchise history, a diagnosis of a long-term back injury followed by a 30-game absence. The good news is that since his return to activity on August 19, he has gradually regained his form and last week he achieved his best run by participating in six consecutive matches.

Trout began his streak on September 4th with Homer’s eighth inning of the Astros Brandon Bellack – The only game the Angel scored in a 9-1 loss – but his next three matches came against the Tigers (Tyler AlexanderAnd the Eduardo RodriguezAnd the will vist), all in wins. Keep the line with Homer from Astros Lance McCullers Jr. In Friday night’s loss, but the second half of three runs hit Jose Urquidi Saturday helped propel the auras to victory.

In the annals of Halos history, that last round raised her home trout Bobby Bondswho played in five consecutive games with the Angels from August 2-7, 1977. In addition, the streak pushed the trout beyond the Rangers Cory Seeger (July 8-12) for the longest this year. Trout had already overtaken his best of luck in four straight games, set in 2017 (May 12-15) and matched in 2019 (April 4-7).

On the seventh day, the trout rested. boss Phil Nevin He gave him a day off on Sunday, his first since Sept. 1 and the second since he returned from Illinois. This left his line tied up for the ninth time ever, at least temporarily:

Most consecutive games with home run

Source: baseball reference

In the midst of the housekeeping boom of recent years, we’ve seen one player a year combine six or seven Homer games. You’ll have to return to the Arenado streak in 2015 to find one in a year when teams score fewer home runs per game than this year (1.08), despite the fact that his streak took place entirely in Colorado makes it worth acknowledging Davis’ streak in 2012 as the last event occurred under less favorable conditions. It does not particularly matter.

Although the move to sit in Trout on Sunday wasn’t popular with fans due to how hot it was, the 31-year-old already had out of his day He backed off from the Detroit streak, so his day off was too late, at least in the eyes of the angels. Understandably, they are aware of trout’s recent history. Having played only 36 games last year due to a strain on his right calf, he went to IL just before the All-Star break after a bout of upper back spasms and then diagnosed with left rib cage. The injury knocked him out of the All-Star Game, and just before his return in late July, Angels coach Mike Frostad told reporters that Trott’s injury, described as Double the cost over the spine in T5 Possibly because of the extra work he’s been doing to fix his swing in the middle of the slump, it’s likely something he’ll have to monitor for the rest of his career.

Trout was forced to spell out the terrible description, say“I suspect [Frostad] It meant I had to stay on top of my daily routine to keep it from coming back… It’s rare for a baseball player… I appreciate all prayer requests, but my career isn’t over yet.”

A few days later, trout He said That Dr. Robert Watkins, a spine specialist, told him that the injury had essentially healed and he was allowed to begin the rotational work. It took about three more weeks for Trout to get back into the lineup, but since then, he’s come in at .317/.372/.734 for the 209 wRC+ in 86 PA, and overall, he’s at .280/.369/.629 from For 177 wRC+, five points over his career mark. His 412 PA leaves him below the 22 qualifying threshold, but among the Major League hitters with at least 400 PA, only Aaron Judge It has a higher deceleration rate or WRC+.

All this is somewhat reassuring given the vagaries of the trout season. Even though he hit .302/.402/.636 for 190 wRC+ through the end of May, from May 29 to June 5, he went 0 for 26 with two walks, stroke after stroke, and nine strokes—his worst hitting streak Which passed 0-for-21 in May 2018. Worse still, this year’s 0-fer coincided with losses from 5 to 11 in the Angels’ 14-game losing streak. They dropped below 0.500 for good after losing to the Phillies on June 5, 27-28, and two days later, manager Joe Madon was fired.

On June 7, the same day Madon was fired and Nevin took over, Trout began a binge frenzy in which he participated nine times in 13 games, and that didn’t help the Angels turn things around; They went 5-8 in that period. In the first week of July, it fell into another slump, this time it was 2 for 22 with 1 walk and 13 strokes. In that one, unlike a full 0-fer, he hit the ball hard when he called, averaging 99.7 mph in the nine ball events, with seven of them being 95 mph or better, even though only two of them got off. Trout said he started feeling his injury during the team streak with the Marlins (July 5-6), which coincided with the extra flips he was doing.

If there’s a concern, it’s that trout hasn’t hit the ball that hard recently. Since his comeback, his exit velocity has averaged 89.6 mph, with a 17.2% barrel and 39.7% swipe rate, and his heavily affected roll rate in his last 50 hitting balls has been mostly down since July 10, just before that. Went to IL:

Trout’s overall Statcast numbers are still pretty strong, though the patchy nature of the past two seasons – with 53 games played in 2020 due to the pandemic and then only 36 last year due to leg strain – makes comparisons more difficult. Putting these two seasons together and keeping in mind that they’re still less than the value of an entire season (and similarly for this year), here’s what his numbers look like from 2018:

Mike Trout Multiplication

season Events EV barrel% strong hit% AVG xBA SLG xSLG woopa xwOBA
2018 352 91.2 15.3% 46.0% .312 .294 .628 .602 .447 .434
2019 354 90.9 17.5% 43.8% .291 .310 .645 .678 .436 .460
2020-21 223 93.1 16.1% 54.3% .301 .295 .598 .612 .423 .427
2022 243 91.8 20.2% 50.6% .280 .260 .629 .583 .418 .395

Trout’s average exit speed and hit rate don’t quite match up to what he did in the 2020-21 stretch, but they outperform everything else he’s done in the Statcast era except for the 2015 EV’s 92.9-mph. This year’s exit velocity is in the 90th percentile, while Trout’s barrel average is in the 99th percentile (third behind Judge and Kyle Schwarber) and its severely affected rate of 96 percent; These last two are the highest functional level in terms of prime numbers if not order. In light of this, what we’ve seen of trout since his return may simply be a regression rather than a sign of impending death.

The one thing that stands out regarding Trout’s numbers, which is due to his slack, is that he walks 10.9% of the time and swings 26.3% of the pitches out of the area; Respectively, these are his lowest and highest scores since 2012. Those that fit the style of a player pressing, and it should also be noted that during most of this season, trout have been hitting in front of Shuhei OhtaniWorld Health Organization [checks notes] Very good too. It was less likely to be overpowered; His intentional walking rate of 1.5% is half his mark from 2018-21. Meanwhile, his overall swing strike rate of 11.9% is a career high, well above his 7.2% average, and his rates on four-ply fastballs (12.2%) and curves (12.4%) are close to double his standards. Maybe it’s a passing thing, but it requires monitoring.

However, the most troubling aspect of Trout’s season is his inability to travel by wire without a trip to IL. He has not played in more than 140 games since 2016, and has played in only 68% of all Angels games over the past six seasons, which equates to 110 games over 162 games; It hit 70.7% this year. He’s missed the equivalent of two full seasons in that time, and while it’s unlikely to make a difference as to whether he was eventually elected to the Hall of Fame, it could cost him some milestones. Odds are he’s over 400 at home now (he’s 344), for example. This absence does not help the angels either. They’ve had enough problems without piling up here (not because they deserve a pass), but for now – and the rest of the season – we can simply hope Trout stays healthy and keeps reminding us that he’s still Mike Trout.